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From #ArsonEmergency to #DanLiedPeopleDied: How Extremist Messaging Co-Opts Emergency Events on the Australian Twittersphere

From #ArsonEmergency to #DanLiedPeopleDied: How Extremist Messaging Co-Opts Emergency Events on the Australian Twittersphere
11th January 2021 Dr. Timothy Graham
In Insights

Australia experienced two major emergency events in 2020, starting off with the summer bushfires, followed shortly after by the coronavirus pandemic. Throughout these events, social media played a critical role for information provision, facilitating social connection, and facilitating public discussions and sense-making. However, there was also a deluge of mis- and disinformation, often spread through coordinated networks. In this article, I explore a worrying and persistent element within such networks: extremist messaging by inauthentic accounts that exploits emergency events to magnify their content and recruit followers.

In early January 2020, I tracked a set of 300 fringe, hyper-partisan Twitter accounts that were pushing the #ArsonEmergency hashtag. I was initially alerted to their activity due to automated bot and troll detection tools, which showed a significantly higher proportion of suspicious activity compared to other hashtags. This hashtag, which parodied the popular hashtag #ClimateEmergency, was the centrepiece of a discredited campaign that arson, and not climate change, is the cause of the bushfires.

Figure 1: False claims of Asian people deliberately lighting bushfires

Amongst this network I observed a worrying amount of problematic content that bumped up against, and in some cases went over, the margins of hate speech, racism and incitement to violence. For example, Figure 1 shows an example tweet of an unsubstantiated claim that a “man of Asian descent” was lighting fires – notably, it includes the hashtags #DomesticTerrorism and #ShootToKill. This is an attempt to legitimise the use of violence against particular sub-groups, which fits alongside other baseless claims that other groups such as environmentalists and Muslims were conspiring to light bushfires on purpose.

It is no surprise that Twitter has since suspended 1 in 20 prominent accounts in this network. Figure 2 shows the follower network for these #ArsonEmergency accounts, filtered to focus on the most prominent nodes (accounts with more than 20 in-links or ‘follows’ from other accounts). Suspended accounts are shown in red (6% of total); deleted accounts are blue (5% of total); and active accounts are white (89%).

Figure 2: Follower network of prominent #ArsonEmergency accounts (filtered to show accounts that are followed by at least 20 other accounts). Red nodes are suspended; blue are deleted; white are still active (as of 15 December 2020).

Turning attention to the United States, echoes of #ArsonEmergency and extremist activity were also observed during the wildfires in Oregon and Washington during September 2020. False rumours circulated on social media that left-wing ‘antifa’ activists were deliberately lighting fires, which led to armed right-wing vigilante groups threatening people in rural communities. The Douglas County Sheriff’s Office debunked these rumours and pleaded with citizens to follow official information in order to enable authorities to deal with the fires and minimise loss of life and property damage.

Recruiting People onto Far-Right Platforms

A concerning trend amongst the #ArsonEmergency account network was the promotion of platforms which are less constrained by content moderation such as Parler and Gab. A number of accounts actively try to recruit people to ‘free speech’ platforms that allow more extremist content, such as far-right and QAnon conspiracy theories (QAnon is now heavily moderated on Twitter). Indeed, QAnon has been labelled as a domestic terror threat in the US, given the advocacy of violence to further the group’s aims and its anti-Semitic core beliefs. For example, Figure 3 shows the profile of the most active account posting #ArsonEmergency tweets, including a link to Parler and a call-to-action: ‘Find me on Parler’.

Figure 3: Profile of the most active #ArsonEmergency account, encouraging other users to connect on the alt-right platform Parler

This marketing of alternative platforms aligns with recent concerns that content moderation on major platforms is driving users to self-moderated platforms that are echo chambers of extreme and hateful content. In this way, far-right Twitter networks in Australia are co-opting crisis and emergency events as a staging ground for radicalising individuals into groups such as QAnon. In the process, these accounts weaponise Twitter’s content moderation policies as ‘evidence’ of their conspiracies, using it to drive traffic onto self-moderated platforms where extremist messaging finds safe harbour.

Extremist Messaging Co-Opted the Victorian ‘Second Wave’ Lockdowns

Shortly after the Australian bushfires, the COVID-19 pandemic provided unprecedented opportunities for far-right extremist groups such as QAnon to evolve and spread their messages and networks. In Australia, the pandemic was swiftly politicised and social media activity polarised into a hyper-partisan battleground. The Victorian ‘second wave’ outbreak provides an illustrative case study. Both social and mainstream media were polarised into two camps: those who supported Victorian Premier Dan Andrews’ handling the outbreak (the #IStandWithDan tweeters), and those who opposed it (#DictatorDan and #DanLiedPeopleDied).

During the various stages of Victorian coronavirus restrictions, social media became a vector to foment anti-lockdown sentiment and protests, culminating in violent clashes with Victorian police. At the same time, Sinophobic memes of Dan Andrews circulated on Twitter and Facebook, keying into racist narratives and hashtags that conflate Chinese identity with the virus. Indeed, the #DanLiedPeopleDied hashtag is a memetic play on the problematic hashtag #ChinaLiedPeopleDied, which features alongside Sinophobic hashtags such as #WuhanFlu and #ChinaVirus. This online activity was contextualised by an increase in racist attacks and slurs against Asian people both in Australia and globally. Extremist messaging was not solely directed at ethnic minorities. Female journalists also received abuse from a small but vocal core of extremist pro-lockdown activists, including abhorrent threats of physical and sexual violence.

More research is needed to understand how emergency events are co-opted by extremists to push problematic content and build their networks. How successful are these cross-platform recruitment strategies from Twitter to platforms such as Parler and Gab? We still have no idea how big and/or active such cross-platform networks are, so mapping these and understanding their dynamics is critical. Similarly, how can we develop better methods to detect when hyper-partisan organic networks are infiltrated and co-opted by extremists? The distinction is often subtle and requires temporal analysis of large-scale data combined with careful qualitative close reading and digital forensics. Finally, we need renewed efforts to advocate for better data access for researchers and transparency from social media companies. Public health and safety are directly proportional to the health and accountability of our social media ecosystems.

An earlier version of this Insight incorrectly stated that its author was Lydia Khalil. This has now been corrected.

This piece was also published in the Lowy Interpreter.